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Burn City Best Bets: Is 4.5 Wins Too Generous For the Cardinals?

Oct 15, 2023; Inglewood, California, USA; Arizona Cardinals head coach Jonathan Gannon watches his team play against the Los Angeles Rams during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Alex Gallardo-USA TODAY Sports

With the point we’re at in the NFL season, is 4.5 wins too generous for the Arizona Cardinals, should we expect less? You can get the feeling from a lot of teams that the Caleb Williams sweepstakes is getting intense. The Arizona Cardinals are right there in competition for that #1 overall pick in next years draft. Is he worth essentially throwing away an entire year? 

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The odds to go over 4.5 wins

Arizona is actually favored to go under the 4.5 win mark as of right now. With odds of -150 to go under, and +125 to go over. You’re essentially betting on the Cardinals to tank and throw away their season. Which by the way, is for a guy that can stay in college if he doesn’t like the team that picks him. 

Could the over be a better play? 

At plus money, It’s a very very risky play. The Cardinals don’t seem to be tanking the rest of their season away, based on how competitive they have been. Arizona has two one possession losses, which would make them a .500 ball club. You can speculate all you want on why that is. Possibly they’re going for the #1 pick, but want to show Williams they are competitive, and with him, are in a position to win. 

What would they do with Kyler?

The elephant in the room in this whole Caleb Williams situation is Kyler Murray. From what I’m seeing on the field, the Cardinals aren’t writing this year off for the first pick. They are competing and playing with passion, trying to win games. When you look around the league, you can’t say the same for teams like the Panthers, or the Bears. 

As a bettor, I would wait to see if they move Kyler when he’s healthy. That will tell us all we need to know, maybe you can make an easy couple bucks by taking the under on 4.5 wins for the Cardinals. 

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