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Burn City Bets: Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo

On Saturday, September 30th, Saul “Canelo” Alvarez will attempt to defend his undisputed super middleweight championship against Jermell Charlo. Charlo is the undisputed super welterweight champion. He is moving up from the 154 pound weight limit to the 168 pound limit for this fight. Canelo comes into this bout with a record of 59-2-2 with 39 wins by way of knockout. Charlo is 35-1 with 19 knockouts. This is a mega match-up of two of the best pound for pound fighters in the sport. What are the best bets to make for this highly anticipated bout?

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Over/Under Total Rounds

The over/under total rounds for this fight is set at 10.5 rounds. The bet is set at a high amount of rounds because of the quality of each fighter. Canelo has 63 professional fights. He has never been knocked down let alone knocked out in a bout. Charlo has also never been knocked down in a fight. Both Canelo and Charlo are good at avoiding big punches and also have good chins to absorb punishment from those punches when they do land. This fight should definitely go the distance. Take the over on 10.5 rounds at -330! Another option is to bet Yes on the fight going the distance at -240!

Jermell Charlo by Decision

Jermell Charlo is moving up two weight classes to take on Canelo. Will this jump in weight have an impact on the fight? No, Charlo may have fought at a smaller weight but his frame is set to fill up well at 168. Charlo is 6 feet tall with a 73 inch reach. Canelo has been fighting at heavier weights but is not the naturally bigger fighter. He is 5’8″ with a 70.5 inch reach. Alvarez is thought to be the stronger fighter coming into this bout but that assumption is incorrect.

Charlo is same height and has an even longer reach than WBA light heavyweight champion Dmitry Bivol. Canelo fought Bivol in May of 2022. Bivol defeated Canelo by unanimous decision. The WBA light heavyweight champion is known for his discipline style. He used his reach and size to control the fight. Charlo can use that blueprint against Alvarez.

If Charlo stays discipline and fights behind his jab and straight right hand. It could be a long night for Canelo. Canelo has a great chin and has always shown a willingness to keep fighting. So a knockout or a stoppage win for Charlo is very unlikely. Charlo has the size, skill and athletic ability to outpoint Canelo and win by decision. Canelo is the favorite so making a bet on Charlo by decision will pay out big time. Take Charlo to win by decision at +480! For an even bigger payout bet the exact method of victory, Charlo by unanimous decision at +900!

Please bet responsibly! The odds in this article are from FanDuel. The odds may be different on other betting sites and apps.

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