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Burn City Best Bets: Diamondbacks NLCS game two

Philadelphia Phillies Brandon Marsh (16) hits a single to Arizona Diamondbacks right fielder Corbin Carroll (7) in the 4th inning during Game 1 of the NLCS at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Oct. 16, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off of a loss in game one against the Phillies, and are set for game two tonight. Merrill Kelly will be on the hill for the Diamondbacks. Aaron Nola is getting the start in game two for the Phillies. Game one last night was dominated by the Phillies bats, and Zach Wheelers eight strikeouts.

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What is the Peoples Play?

The sport betting world is still very reluctant to put their money on the snakes. Arizona has received just 29% of bets to win the game outright. After a 5-3 loss to the Phil’s it seems the ENTIRE baseball world gave up on the young Cinderella story. So, the majority play here is clearly the Phillies money line.

What are the odds the Diamondbacks tie it up?

Diamondbacks money line is currently at +140. Arizona has taken on the slogan “Embrace the chaos” and there is no better time to do that than now. With Kelly on the bump, I actually really like the Diamondbacks here. Kelly threw a gem in his last outing and if there’s one thing about the Dbacks pitcher, he pitches well in bunches.

Let Kelly Carry the Way

I think Merrill Kelly can carry this squad to a victory. The Diamondbacks know they have to win one in Philly, or their season might be over. I love Kelly over 4.5 strikeouts, he’s thrown 5 strikeouts in four of his last five, and 6 in the other. Kelly to throw under 4.5 strikeouts is basically unheard of, unless he gets chased in the second. With that being said, I like Kelly over 13.5 outs record. Even after allowing four homeruns, Gallen also went into the fifth. I think Luvollo will also keep his starters into the fifth, to keep it as competitive as possible.

Can the Bat Come Alive?

After putting up just three fairly uncompetitive runs last night, the Diamondbacks need to wake the bats up. Geraldo Perdomo has been hitting the ball well and the sports book doesn’t seem to agree. Perdomo is +110 to get a base hit tonight and that’s a bet I will be taking. Ketel Marte is a guy I trust to lead a team, I like his hits + runs + rbis combo at 1.5, with value of +105.

Burn City Best Bets: Game One Recap – Prize Picks Edition

Merrill Kelly Makes a Huge Mistake in Pre-game Press Conference.


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